Tuesday, January 30, 2007
Resilience Project White Paper
(Response to note from The Speaker’s Office [376] )
1/29/2007 1:27 PM
(Response à to [376] )
Paul --
Thanks for taking the initiative.
Appreciated.
In a few hours myself and
thousands of others will make the hajj to the Moscone Center
here in San Francisco to witness the excess for the
launch of Vista and Office 2007.
It has caused a bit of a pause
and reflection.
IMO, we have reached the very end-of-the-beginning
of computing. Widespread data processing started roughly 50
years ago. These processing archetypes
shaped in those data centers are still at the center of how we think
about computing.
We are also at the beginning-of-the-end
for 'processing' and 'development' modalities. These deceptive,
dysfunctional, defective development 'processes' that brought Vista
forward, for example, years late, billions over budget, are now themselves entirely
unsustainable. They're through. Vista will definitely be the last
offering conceived and offered in this Byzantine fashion, ca
1960s, with jewel cases, five 'teared' versions, defective, etc. The
product ALREADY belongs in a museum.
Our headlong flight to natural
systems computing is inexorable and accelerating in spite of deliberate efforts
to ameliorate it. People won't tell you a lot more cycles are consumed
for gaming, entertainment, and social computing (gasp!), they for
data processing. Yet, everyone still conceives and build machines,
languages and applications like a circa 1965 data center.
There are positive signs.
Computing movements in social media, complexity science,
markets, marketplace logic, value networks, etc., are setting the
stage for a new era of natural computing. The network is creating this
profound shift, creating the new beginning. The most
disruptive computing innovations over the last 30 years, Internet,
client-server, P2P, grid, and mesh, all originated from a network mindset.
Expect further developments like this, particularly like what Cisco
Systems is doing with the long-overdue Human Network.
http://www.cisco.com/web/thehumannetwork/index.html
This is where computing
needs to be headed. Computing must be useful, not just necessary. Cisco,
of course, is among the sponsors, with MIT and NASA, of your Collective
Intelligence Network Summit, Feb 22, at Pepperdine
University (LAX Satellite). We are very
please to have science fiction writer David Brin in our
conversations. See:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Brin
http://www.vncluster.com/LAX.htm
Finally, probably the best place
to find actual tools, methods, techniques, practitioners and importantly,
real customers of early-stage natural systems is in value networks and value
networks analysis. See:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_Network
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_network_analysis
These networks are really the
heart and mind of enterprise and institutional adoption and transformation of
natural system science. There exist a thriving ecosystem and industry
consortium too. See:
http://www.vncluster.com/VNVAC.htm
Gotta go of the Moscone Center
for the 'funeral.' Whish me luck!
Cordially,
John
P.S. A few years ago there was a
lot of fear and terror that 80% of Federal IT workers were eligible for
retirement. This crisis was hailed as the new Y2K. Frankly, this
demographic shift must be seen as an ADVANTAGE and be
facilitated. You can't create the future with the
same mindset that built the past.
John Maloney
IM/Skype: jheuristic
Blog: http://kmblogs.com/
ID: http://2idi.com/contact/=john.maloney